Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 18.01 and falling. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

This week should consist of mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the low to mid-80s and lows in the low 60s to low 70s. Our rain chances remain low for the majority of the week except for Tuesday evening into Wednesday afternoon. Based on the forecasts, the heaviest rainfall is to our northeast outside of the Brazos River Watershed. The current Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) shows the upper portions of the Brazos River, upstream of Hempstead, receiving less than ½ inch of rain with the lower portions, including Fort Bend County, receiving less than 1 inch of rain over the next 7 days. The majority of this rainfall occurs from the storms possibly moving through the region Tuesday through Wednesday.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 20.6. The WGRFC forecast shows the Brazos River through Fort Bend County falling below Action Stage later today. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

Most of our heavy storms remained north of I-10 in Montgomery and northern Harris County. The upper Brazos River watershed did receive some additional rainfall; however, the latest WGRFC Brazos River Forecast for San Felipe and Richmond shows the river levels flatting out later this week. The overall trend continues to show the Brazos River falling. This week we should see sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s. Our rain chances are minimal throughout the week except for Wednesday when we have another possible round of severe thunderstorms with the most severe weather remaining to our north, northeast. The latest forecast shows the upper portions of the Brazos River (Waco to Hempstead) possibly seeing up to an inch of rainfall while the lower portions of the Brazos possibly seeing 0.1 to 0.5 inches over the next 7 days. The vast majority of this falling on Wednesday.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 17.77. Based on the amount of rainfall that fell upstream of Hempstead, the WGRFC forecast shows the Brazos River through Fort Bend County rising into Action Stage on Wednesday, peaking around Gage Elevation 27.1 on Friday. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

The most severe weather from last week’s storms stayed north of our Region with portions of the upper Brazos River Watershed receiving between 1 to 3 inches of rain. For much of the lower Brazos River Watershed, south of Hempstead, last week ended sunny with minimal amounts of rain (less than ¼ inch). Our dry, sunny weather will continue through the majority of this week with highs in the low to mid-70s and lows in the low to mid-50s. Although there is uncertainty in the forecast, our next highest chance for rain will be Friday through Sunday. The current forecast shows the majority of the Brazos River Watershed, including Fort Bend County, seeing a ¼ inch or less of precipitation over the next 7 days.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 23.7. Based on the weekend rainfall, the Brazos River in Richmond experienced a 1-foot rise; however, it continues to fall. The WGRFC forecast shows that the Brazos River in Richmond falling out of Action Stage on Thursday morning. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

After a relatively beautiful 2nd half of the weekend, our weather conditions will continue to be on a warming trend with partly cloudy skies and slight rain chances through Thursday. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to low 90s into Wednesday before our next cold front arrives bringing our highs into the mid to upper 60s to the mid to upper 70s through the weekend. The confidence in the forecast beyond Thursday is low. Based on the current forecasts, the lower Brazos River watershed could see between 1.0 to 2.0 inches of rainfall over the next 7 days. The forecasts show the majority of that rainfall occurring Thursday through Saturday.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 27.89. The WGRFC forecast shows that the Brazos River in Richmond peaked around Gage Elevation 27.97 early this morning and should start to fall. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

The region has some minimal rain chances today with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies through Wednesday. High temperatures for the majority of the week should be in the upper 70s to low 80s with our low temperatures in the mid-50s to upper 60s. The extended forecast does show an increased chance for rain starting on Thursday and possibly running into early next week. Based on the NWS WPC 7-Day QPF, the upper portions of the Brazos River Watershed, from Lake Whitney (Upstream of Waco) to Hempstead could see approximately 2 to 2.5 inches. The current forecast shows these rainfall amounts decreasing downstream with Fort Bend County potentially receiving 1.5 to 1.75 inches over the next 7 days. The majority of this rainfall could occur Friday to Sunday. The confidence in the extended forecast remains low. It is too early to know the accuracy of these rainfall amounts and its potential impacts on the Brazos River, but based on the current forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated over the next 7 to 10 days. We will continue to monitor the forecasts for any changes that occur as we approach the middle to end of the week.

Early April Outlook

The NWS Weather Prediction Center has issued/updated their Outlook to start the month of April. Based on the forecast, we have a higher probability of seeing below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation to start the month of April. From NWS Houston/Galveston Office: “The early April weather pattern is forecast to be more cloudy & wet. More frequent western weather disturbance passages will thicken up clouds, produce more precipitation. This will create a “cooling” effect & may provide some relief to our recent drought conditions.”

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 15.71 and rising based on the weekend rainfall and upstream reservoir releases. The WGRFC anticipates the Brazos River reaching Action Stage on Tuesday morning and peaking around Gage Elevation 31.1 feet on Friday morning. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

After several days of wet weather, the Region along with much of the State of Texas will see warmer, sunnier weather. Highs for the week should be in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s before our next cold front potentially arrives on Sunday. Rain chances remain low over the next several days with our highest chance for rain occurring tomorrow. The NWS forecast is showing the majority of the Brazos River Watershed including Fort Bend County seeing less than ¼ inch of rainfall over the next 5 to 7 days.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 14.61 and slightly continuing to rise based on upstream rainfall and reservoir releases. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

Another week of cloudy to partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s. Our rain chances remain relatively low throughout the week; however, a shallow cold front should works its way through the region this weekend. This front could increase our rain changes Friday to Sunday. Based on the extended forecasts, the upper portions of the Brazos River Watershed (Waco to Bryan/College Station) could see between 2 to 3 inches over the next 7 days. The lower portions of the Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County, could see between 0.5 to 1.5 inches over the next 7 days. The majority of these rainfall totals are toward the middle to end of the week and are subject to change.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 15.76 and slightly continuing to rise based on upstream rainfall and reservoir releases. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

We can expect a relatively warm week. High temperatures will range in the upper 70s to low 80s with lows in the mid-60s. The NWS forecast is showing a 10 to 25% chance of rain throughout the week with a 30%+ chance into the weekend ahead of our next cold front. North and central Texas could see another 1 to 2+ inches of rainfall over the next 7 days. These rain amounts should stay mostly outside of the Brazos River watershed with a chance for some of this increased rainfall to land upstream of Waco in the upper portions of the watershed. The lower portions of the Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County, should see less than ½ inch over the next 7 days.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 13.3 feet. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

Another warm start of the week before our next cold front pushes through the region on Wednesday. To start the week, temperatures will be highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with lows in the mid to upper 60s. Once the cold front pushes through the region, our high temperatures will drop to the upper 60s to low 70s with low temperatures dropping into the mid to upper 40s before temperatures gradually begin to rise into the weekend. Ahead of the cold front, the NWS is forecasting a round of severe weather mainly to our north, northwest over central Texas. The most severe and heaviest rainfall should remain upstream of Fort Bend County with the upper portions of the Brazos River (Bryan/College Station to Waco) potentially seeing between 2 to 3 inches through Thursday morning. The lower portions of the watershed, including Fort Bend County, should see less an inch through Thursday morning. We are watching how this widespread rainfall will impact the watershed, but based on the forecasts no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

Reservoir Status

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 14.19 feet and rising due to last week’s rainfall working its way down from the upper portions of the Watershed. Hempstead peaked on Sunday and San Felipe is currently at or near its forecasted peak. The Brazos River through Richmond is anticipate to peak around Gage 17.7 feet on Tuesday morning. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

Most of the region woke up to a round of heavy showers with some areas seeing 1 to 2+ inches since 3 AM this morning. Some of the highest amounts were in Fort Bend County in the Sugar Land area. Once these showers move out of the region, the remainder of the week should include mostly Sunny weather that should last through the weekend. High temperatures through Tuesday should hit the low to mid-70s before the cold front pushes through on Wednesday. The dry cold front will send highs into the mid-50s to low 60s with a chance of freezing temperatures in portions of the region Wednesday night into Thursday morning. After the brief cold, highs will return to the low 60s to low 70s from Thursday through the weekend. After today, rain chances drop to below 10% for the next 5 to 7 days. Based on the forecasts, most of the lower Brazos River Watershed, including Fort Bend County, should see less than 0.25 inch over the next 7 days. The majority of this rainfall is what could fall over the Region today, Monday, with the remainder of the week being dry with little to no rain.

Reservoir Status