Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.79. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

Today is the Autumnal Equinox which marks the first day of fall. For today, we have a good chance for passing showers and thunderstorms. These storms could produce rainfall amounts upwards to 2 to 3 inches of rain in less than 2 hours. Based on the forecasts, the heaviest rainfall is anticipated to remain to our south and east; however, we will continue to monitor the conditions. Our rain chances for the remainder of the week drop below 20% with high temperatures around 90°. Overall the forecasts are showing Fort Bend County and the Lower Brazos River Watershed receiving less than ½ inch over the next 7 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is continuing to track TS Jerry, TS Karen and Tropical Depression 13. At this time, there are no threats to the Western Gulf of Mexico due to these systems.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.38. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, we could see a rise in the Brazos River through Fort Bend County; however, at this time no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

A tropical disturbance is currently located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico with a 10% chance of development. Regardless of its development, the region is expected to receive heavy rainfall throughout the week. The current forecasts are showing the potential for widespread rainfall amounts between 3 to 6 inches through Thursday with isolated areas seeing amounts as high as 10 to 15 inches. We will see showers starting to move through the region Monday and Tuesday with the heaviest rainfall potentially falling Wednesday and Thursday. The current forecasts are not calling for major flooding to occur; however, rainfall intensities of 2 to 3 inches per hour with isolated areas of 3 to 4 inches per hour could cause some localized street and stream flooding. We will continue to monitor the conditions throughout the week and provide updates as needed.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

In addition to the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center is continuing to watch Hurricane Humberto and another disturbance in the central Atlantic.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.54. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

Some were lucky enough to receive rainfall this morning; however, the majority was located within eastern Fort Bend County with a peak total of just over ¾ inch in the Sugar Land area. The current forecasts are showing additional rain chances (between 20 to 50%) this afternoon through Wednesday with highs in the low 90s. After Wednesday, the hot, dry weather returns as our rain chances drop below 20% with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Not including this morning’s rainfall, the 7 day forecast is showing a total of less than ½ of rainfall for most of the lower Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is currently watching 2 disturbances in the Atlantic along with Tropical Storm Gabrielle; however, at this time there are no threats to the western Gulf of Mexico.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 12.14. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated as drought conditions continue to rise with limited precipitation in the forecast.

This Week

Drought conditions continue to increase as excessive heat and limited to no precipitation has fallen over the past couple weeks. The first part of this week will remain hot with highs near the upper 90s with the potential to hit 100°. A “weak summertime cold front” approaches the region on Wednesday and arrives on Thursday. This will increase our rain chances and bring temperatures down to the mid-90s. Overall, the forecast is showing less than ½ inch of rain over the next 7 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center does not anticipate any tropical development over the next 2 to 5 days.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 13.78. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

The extended forecast is showing a continuation of our weekend weather with highs in the low to mid 90s with relatively low rain changes over the next several days. Our highest chance for rain is Tuesday and Wednesday; however, overall the forecasts are showing less than ½ inch over the next 7 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is giving a tropical disturbance a 20% chance of forming over the next 5 days. The disturbance is currently over the eastern Caribbean Sea and is expected to move west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea and the Greater Antilles during the next few days. At this time, it is anticipated that this tropical wave could move toward Florida before making a north-northeasterly turn avoiding the western Gulf of Mexico.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.